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Africa's potential is stuck in the dark
Welcome to Tech Safari - Your tour guide on African Tech. š§
Hello to the new folks who have joined the safari since the last edition.
If you havenāt subscribed, join thousands of smart folks curious about tech in Africa.
Hey šš½ Sheriff here.
This week weāre talking about power in Africa, and how much of a pain it is.
And as I was writing it, guess what happened?
The power went out. How poetic.
Before we dive in, weāve got some Tech Safari Events coming up next week! š„³
Tech Safari Events This Month
š°šŖ Latitude59 Kenya Edition
š Thursday 28th @ ASK Dome, Nairobi
Latitude59 is going to be Nairobiās best tech event of 2024 ā and itās little over a week away!
Early bird tickets are gone, but since youāre reading this newsletter, you get a 50% discount. Grab your ticket here and use this code: LATITUDE59KENYA2ND
Oh, and no conference is complete without the afterparty.
Weāre throwing a great one at the Alchemist. Itās free if you have a Latitude ticket, but if youāre skipping the main event, you can grab your party tickets here.
One more event this week:
š Friday, Nov 29th | 11:00 AM - 4:00 PM
Sling Money is hosting a free fireside chat with devs, designers, and founders to connect and share ideas on cross-border payments.
Sign up here and come hang with Simon Amor (Slingās Co-founder).
Sling money app
Nowā¦ Letās get into this weekās edition.
Somewhere in Africa, the power just went out.
Machines fell silent, lights went off, and darkness rolled in.
For 640 million Africans, this isnāt just an inconvenience. Itās daily life, and itās chaining their potential to the ground.
Farmers canāt preserve their crops.
Students canāt study past sundown.
And small business owners must choose between getting power back up and paying their staff.
Electricity, a basic need in most parts of the world, is still a luxury for half of Africa:
South African homes had blackouts for up to 10 hours a day last year.
Four out of five African companies face regular and lengthy power cuts
And 57% of African companies own backup generators - the highest share in the world.
Who pulled the plug?
The short answer - is infrastructure.
Or better yet, the lack of it.
1. Africa doesnāt generate enough power.
Power is measured in wattsāthe more watts, the better the power.
Africa produces about 245 gigawatts of energy each year, mostly from coal and gas.
But with 1.3 billion people living here, that means each person gets just 180 kilowatt-hours per day.
Thatās barely enough to keep a few lights on and run an air conditioner in an average home.
To give you an idea, Texas - a state in the U.S. - generates 145 gigawatts for just 30 million people.
2. The grids are broken
Producing power is one part, but transmitting it is another.
Africaās power grids are so ancient and broken, they shut down all the time, especially when it rains or gets windy.
Nigeria has the potential to generate 13,000 megawatts of electricity.
But because of broken grids, they can only transmit 4,000 megawatts.
Itās no surprise that Nigeriaās power grid has collapsed 222 times in the last 13 years.
When weāre not producing enough power, and struggling to transmit what we make, it can only mean one thingā¦
Africaās growth is stuck in the dark
A countryās wealth is tied to how much energy it uses.
More energy usage means more factories, hospitals, and productive businesses - giving Africa a thriving economy.
So if Africa solves its power problem, its economy could take off.
But it wonāt come cheap.
The African Development Bank says itāll cost up to $90 billion a year to provide Africa with clean, constant power.
Most African governments are broke, so thatās a huge ask.
But where big, slow, and expensive fails, small, cheap and fast stands a better chance.
And startups are offering a different takeā¦
The future of African power is decentralized
Hooking up thousands of homes to a central grid was cool 50 years ago. But today, a class of startups are doing the opposite - theyāre decentralizing power.
A great example is Rensource Energy.
Rensource builds solar microgrids - smaller grids built for neighborhoods - and uses them to power many small markets across Africa.
And theyāre doing it with solar power, dropping costs and helping the environment.
In Nigeria and Uganda where companies spend three times their power bill on generators, itās a lifesaver.
And theyāve also built it with Africaās financing needs in mind.
They figured that if most people donāt have power, then they probably canāt pay a lot for it too.
So, they provide homes with power upfront and let them pay in bits over time.
Itās the classical promise of buy now, pay later, except "later" is stretched over two to five years.
This financing model is called Pay As You Go (or PayGo) and a bunch of energy startups are using it to reach customers.
Lumos lets people buy solar systems and pay them off with airtime.
d. Light designs TVs, inverters, and lamps that use solar power and sells them on credit
And Zola Electric builds solar systems for homes and collects small daily payments via mobile money.
Back in 2012, energy startups (like Zola) started popping up with the PayGo model strapped on to their products.
And with the promise of affordability, they soon raised big bucks and made moves.
Lumos Global raised $90 million back in 2016.
Zola Electric has raised $315 million to light up homes over 300,000 homes.
And d.Light got $507 million to sell solar-powered appliances to homes.
Soon, the game was on, and these companies were signing up millions of homes for clean, affordable power.
Thereās only one problem.
Their customers arenāt actually paying as they go
In 2015, Mukusa Bilori, a 50-year-old Tanzanian farmer, signed up with Zola Electric to bring solar power to his home.
He put down 24,000 shillings ($10) for a solar kit and agreed to pay 12,000 shillings ($5) a month for two years.
The plan was simple - if he kept up with this payment, heād pay a total of 312,000 shillings ($120) in two years.
But his farming income was unstable, and so was his repayment.
And with every missed payment, interest piled on.
After six years, Mukusa had paid 830,000 shillings ($312) and still owed 200,000 shillings ($75).
Then, his solar kit was disconnected, leaving him back in a blackout.
Mukusaās family is one of many for whom the PayGo promise is just that - a promise.
Frankly, PayGo sounds nice on paper, but the cracks are starting to show.
It promised to light up homes without burning holes in their pockets.
But for some, itās slowly turning into a debt trap.
And more power should mean more wealth, not more burden.
We need a new, better financing model that helps people power their homes without circling a debt trap.
Do you know any energy startups in Africa with a different take from PayGo?
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